Kalawao County, HI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kalawao County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 79° Low 75° Rain 63%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 84 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 78° | 74° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 79° | 73° | 92% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 78° | 76° | 94% |
| German model (ICON) | 81° | 76° | 85% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 80° | 75° | 33% |
| The average | 79° | 75° | 63% |
High 80° Low 75° Rain 14%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 78° | 74° | 14% |
| US model (GFS) | 80° | 73° | 10% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 77° | 75° | 8% |
| German model (ICON) | 84° | 76° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 80° | 76° | 10% |
| The average | 80° | 75° | 14% |
High 80° Low 75° Rain 17%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 79° | 75° | 22% |
| US model (GFS) | 81° | 73° | 33% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 77° | 75° | 14% |
| German model (ICON) | 83° | 76° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 80° | 74° | 10% |
| The average | 80° | 75° | 17% |
High 80° Low 75° Rain 22%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 79° | 75° | 15% |
| US model (GFS) | 80° | 74° | 30% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 78° | 76° | 41% |
| German model (ICON) | 84° | 76° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 80° | 75° | 19% |
| The average | 80° | 75° | 22% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.