Minority Report

Kalispell, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Flathead County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)51°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°37°0%
German model (ICON)52°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°32°0%
The average51°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 33°   Rain 2%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 13°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°12%
US model (GFS)59°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)49°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°30°0%
The average51°33°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 32°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 27%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°20%
US model (GFS)50°37°19%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°43%
German model (ICON)50°30°33%
Canadian model (GEM)43°28°19%
The average47°32°27%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 32°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 13%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°33°30%
US model (GFS)49°34°4%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°20%
German model (ICON)49°31°8%
Canadian model (GEM)43°29°5%
The average49°32°13%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.