Minority Report

Kanab, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kane County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 42°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°3%
US model (GFS)65°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°41°0%
German model (ICON)64°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°39°0%
The average64°42°1%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 43°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 74%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°42°92%
US model (GFS)63°45°46%
European model (ECMWF)58°42°90%
German model (ICON)59°48°63%
Canadian model (GEM)60°36°81%
The average60°43°74%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 36°   Rain 95%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°33°91%
US model (GFS)52°43°92%
European model (ECMWF)53°37°100%
German model (ICON)53°37°100%
Canadian model (GEM)51°29°92%
The average53°36°95%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°37°0%
US model (GFS)53°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°32°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°24°0%
The average55°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.