Minority Report

Karnes City, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Karnes County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 55°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°0%
US model (GFS)77°58°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°58°0%
German model (ICON)76°56°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°52°0%
The average76°55°0%

Friday, November 13

High 76°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°53°0%
US model (GFS)76°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°52°0%
German model (ICON)76°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°44°0%
The average76°50°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 73°   Low 56°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 60%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°60°60%
US model (GFS)70°57°44%
European model (ECMWF)73°57°78%
German model (ICON)72°56°71%
Canadian model (GEM)78°50°48%
The average73°56°60%

Sunday, November 15

High 74°   Low 58°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 74%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°55°78%
US model (GFS)78°62°58%
European model (ECMWF)72°57°86%
German model (ICON)72°57°64%
Canadian model (GEM)78°61°86%
The average74°58°74%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.