Minority Report

Kaufman, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kaufman County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)78°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°51°0%
German model (ICON)77°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°47°0%
The average77°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°45°1%
US model (GFS)68°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°52°0%
German model (ICON)66°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°49°0%
The average68°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 45°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 36%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°45°52%
US model (GFS)65°45°24%
European model (ECMWF)63°47°51%
German model (ICON)59°43°50%
Canadian model (GEM)64°47°5%
The average64°45°36%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 44°   Rain 90%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 90%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°43°90%
US model (GFS)57°45°76%
European model (ECMWF)51°46°98%
German model (ICON)50°43°95%
Canadian model (GEM)56°44°91%
The average54°44°90%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.