Minority Report

Kearney, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Buffalo County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°0%
US model (GFS)46°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°0%
German model (ICON)46°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°30°0%
The average46°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°0%
US model (GFS)40°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)47°34°0%
German model (ICON)47°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°24°0%
The average46°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 30°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°12%
US model (GFS)46°29°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°32°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°27°20%
The average45°30°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 35°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 13%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°9%
US model (GFS)51°39°7%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°10%
German model (ICON)51°37°13%
Canadian model (GEM)48°34°24%
The average49°35°13%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.