Minority Report

Keene, NH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cheshire County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 43°   Low 36°   Rain 97%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 11 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°98%
US model (GFS)43°37°89%
European model (ECMWF)43°39°100%
German model (ICON)45°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°100%
The average43°36°97%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 30°   Rain 89%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 89%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°24°61%
US model (GFS)41°32°82%
European model (ECMWF)41°33°100%
German model (ICON)40°33°100%
Canadian model (GEM)40°26°100%
The average41°30°89%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 28°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°24°2%
US model (GFS)42°30°4%
European model (ECMWF)43°31°12%
German model (ICON)43°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)40°26°5%
The average43°28°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°25°2%
US model (GFS)42°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°2%
German model (ICON)42°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°33°0%
The average43°31°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.