Minority Report

Kelso, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cowlitz County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 49°   Rain 17%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 63 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 17%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°63%
US model (GFS)59°49°4%
German model (ICON)58°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°49°0%
The average59°49°17%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 49°   Rain 88%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 24 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 88%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°48°95%
US model (GFS)54°47°80%
German model (ICON)56°51°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°49°76%
The average56°49°88%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 50°   Rain 95%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 13 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°49°99%
US model (GFS)54°47°99%
German model (ICON)56°51°86%
Canadian model (GEM)55°50°95%
The average55°50°95%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 46°   Rain 98%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°44°96%
US model (GFS)53°44°99%
German model (ICON)55°48°98%
Canadian model (GEM)56°47°100%
The average55°46°98%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.