Minority Report

Kemmerer, WY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lincoln County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)58°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°32°0%
German model (ICON)55°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°30°0%
The average54°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 17%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 17%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°32°44%
US model (GFS)52°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)49°31°0%
German model (ICON)50°32°8%
Canadian model (GEM)50°23°29%
The average50°30°17%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 53%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°25°44%
US model (GFS)43°29°53%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°49%
German model (ICON)45°31°56%
Canadian model (GEM)47°28°62%
The average44°29°53%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°26°0%
US model (GFS)42°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°0%
German model (ICON)45°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°24°0%
The average45°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.