Kenai Peninsula Borough, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kenai Peninsula Borough.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 37° Low 33° Rain 96%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 36° | 27° | 79% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 34° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 37° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 37° | 34° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 33° | 100% |
| The average | 37° | 33° | 96% |
High 37° Low 29° Rain 37%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 34° | 20° | 15% |
| US model (GFS) | 35° | 28° | 10% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 34° | 80% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 34° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 30° | 52% |
| The average | 37° | 29° | 37% |
High 33° Low 28° Rain 32%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 33° | 22° | 57% |
| US model (GFS) | 30° | 26° | 23% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 34° | 31° | 13% |
| German model (ICON) | 35° | 32° | 32% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 32° | 28° | 35% |
| The average | 33° | 28° | 32% |
High 34° Low 29° Rain 68%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 34° | 24° | 76% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 28° | 78% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 35° | 31° | 60% |
| German model (ICON) | 32° | 30° | 57% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 34° | 31° | 71% |
| The average | 34° | 29° | 68% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.