Minority Report

Kent County, RI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kent County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 41°   Rain 93%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 93%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°100%
US model (GFS)56°41°85%
European model (ECMWF)54°42°99%
German model (ICON)55°41°83%
Canadian model (GEM)57°39°99%
The average55°41°93%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 89%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 89%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°35°76%
US model (GFS)44°36°81%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°100%
German model (ICON)46°37°93%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°96%
The average45°36°89%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°20%
US model (GFS)45°33°4%
European model (ECMWF)45°33°10%
German model (ICON)45°34°10%
Canadian model (GEM)43°32°21%
The average45°33°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°31°0%
US model (GFS)46°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°0%
German model (ICON)47°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°34°0%
The average47°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.