Minority Report

Kentland, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Newton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 41 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 60%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°80%
US model (GFS)45°35°50%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°39%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°73%
The average45°36°60%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 32°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 48 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 42% against a group average of 73%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°30°85%
US model (GFS)39°32°42%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°75%
Canadian model (GEM)38°33°90%
The average40°32°73%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 28°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 38 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 11%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°27°1%
US model (GFS)45°31°6%
European model (ECMWF)47°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°24°38%
The average45°28°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°0%
US model (GFS)48°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°19°0%
The average47°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.