Minority Report

Kenton County, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kenton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 40°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 52%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°49%
US model (GFS)53°38°20%
European model (ECMWF)53°42°67%
German model (ICON)54°40°40%
Canadian model (GEM)52°39°86%
The average53°40°52%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 53%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°32°48%
US model (GFS)43°32°23%
European model (ECMWF)45°40°66%
German model (ICON)45°35°55%
Canadian model (GEM)42°35°71%
The average44°35°53%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°34°0%
US model (GFS)46°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°32°0%
German model (ICON)45°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°28°5%
The average45°31°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°33°0%
US model (GFS)48°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°39°0%
German model (ICON)52°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°29°0%
The average48°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.