Minority Report

Kenton, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hardin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 16 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 84% against a group average of 94%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°84%
US model (GFS)49°40°86%
European model (ECMWF)50°41°100%
German model (ICON)49°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)47°41°100%
The average49°40°94%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 51%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°28°33%
US model (GFS)40°32°36%
European model (ECMWF)42°35°56%
German model (ICON)41°33°50%
Canadian model (GEM)41°31°82%
The average41°32°51%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 29°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 5%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°34°3%
US model (GFS)41°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)43°28°0%
German model (ICON)43°28°3%
Canadian model (GEM)39°25°17%
The average42°29°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°0%
US model (GFS)45°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°0%
German model (ICON)46°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)39°29°0%
The average44°34°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.