Minority Report

Kermit, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Winkler County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°0%
US model (GFS)71°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°47°0%
German model (ICON)70°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°42°0%
The average70°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 71°   Low 47°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 66%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°52°91%
US model (GFS)72°46°41%
European model (ECMWF)72°46°73%
German model (ICON)70°49°53%
Canadian model (GEM)72°40°70%
The average71°47°66%

Saturday, November 14

High 69°   Low 52°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 94 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 61%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°50°5%
US model (GFS)71°55°63%
European model (ECMWF)69°52°99%
German model (ICON)71°55°60%
Canadian model (GEM)64°50°77%
The average69°52°61%

Sunday, November 15

High 65°   Low 47°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°45°0%
US model (GFS)68°55°2%
European model (ECMWF)64°46°2%
German model (ICON)67°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°40°0%
The average65°47°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.