Key West, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monroe County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 82° Low 77° Rain 40%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 70 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 75° | 12% |
| US model (GFS) | 84° | 74° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 82° | 78° | 82% |
| German model (ICON) | 81° | 79° | 38% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 82° | 79° | 43% |
| The average | 82° | 77° | 40% |
High 81° Low 74° Rain 22%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 82° | 69° | 15% |
| US model (GFS) | 83° | 72° | 13% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 80° | 76° | 33% |
| German model (ICON) | 80° | 75° | 18% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 80° | 76° | 31% |
| The average | 81° | 74° | 22% |
High 76° Low 70° Rain 3%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 77° | 68° | 4% |
| US model (GFS) | 74° | 68° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 77° | 71° | 5% |
| German model (ICON) | 75° | 70° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 76° | 71° | 0% |
| The average | 76° | 70° | 3% |
High 78° Low 71° Rain 8%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 81° | 73° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 76° | 69° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 79° | 71° | 12% |
| German model (ICON) | 77° | 70° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 79° | 70° | 14% |
| The average | 78° | 71° | 8% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.