Minority Report

Keyser, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mineral County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 43°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 80 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 59%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°20%
US model (GFS)55°42°31%
European model (ECMWF)55°45°100%
German model (ICON)56°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)59°45°46%
The average56°43°59%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 36°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 15%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°26%
US model (GFS)45°35°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°6%
German model (ICON)45°36°25%
Canadian model (GEM)48°39°14%
The average46°36°15%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°20%
US model (GFS)44°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)43°35°18%
German model (ICON)43°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°37°14%
The average45°34°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 37°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 6%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°31°12%
US model (GFS)45°37°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°40°16%
German model (ICON)46°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°39°0%
The average47°37°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.