Minority Report

King George, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of King George County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 46°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 74 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 6% against a group average of 44%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°6%
US model (GFS)68°48°34%
European model (ECMWF)67°46°80%
German model (ICON)66°45°45%
Canadian model (GEM)69°45°57%
The average67°46°44%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 38°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°7%
US model (GFS)48°37°3%
European model (ECMWF)50°41°8%
German model (ICON)50°37°10%
Canadian model (GEM)50°40°19%
The average50°38°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 34°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 5%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°2%
US model (GFS)51°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)49°36°1%
German model (ICON)51°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)50°36°17%
The average50°34°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°34°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°38°0%
German model (ICON)54°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°32°0%
The average53°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.