Minority Report

Kingman, AZ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mohave County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—52°2%
US model (GFS)72°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°49°0%
German model (ICON)72°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°46°0%
The average72°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 49°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 38%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°47°34%
US model (GFS)67°52°15%
European model (ECMWF)65°53°78%
German model (ICON)66°51°20%
Canadian model (GEM)66°43°43%
The average66°49°38%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 44°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 29%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°41°32%
US model (GFS)59°50°10%
European model (ECMWF)59°49°41%
German model (ICON)60°45°38%
Canadian model (GEM)60°38°24%
The average60°44°29%

Sunday, November 15

High 63°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°45°1%
US model (GFS)62°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°45°0%
German model (ICON)63°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°37°0%
The average63°43°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.