Minority Report

Kingman, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kingman County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°1%
US model (GFS)63°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°40°0%
German model (ICON)62°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°38°0%
The average61°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°32°1%
US model (GFS)51°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°36°0%
German model (ICON)52°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°30°0%
The average51°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 33°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 36%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°38°46%
US model (GFS)49°30°23%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°32%
German model (ICON)52°32°26%
Canadian model (GEM)50°29°55%
The average50°33°36%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 39°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 62%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°34°52%
US model (GFS)46°40°59%
European model (ECMWF)47°41°53%
German model (ICON)45°40°60%
Canadian model (GEM)42°38°86%
The average46°39°62%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.