Minority Report

Kingston, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Roane County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 43°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 92 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 63%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°8%
US model (GFS)59°44°26%
European model (ECMWF)59°47°100%
German model (ICON)58°46°88%
Canadian model (GEM)59°43°95%
The average59°43°63%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 37°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 14%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°13%
US model (GFS)47°38°8%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°33%
German model (ICON)49°40°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°37°15%
The average47°37°14%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 32°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 4%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°33°2%
German model (ICON)50°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°28°15%
The average48°32°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°31°1%
US model (GFS)53°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°32°0%
German model (ICON)54°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°24°0%
The average53°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.