Minority Report

Kingwood, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Preston County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 38°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 46 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 84%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°54%
US model (GFS)48°39°66%
European model (ECMWF)49°39°100%
German model (ICON)49°39°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°40°100%
The average49°38°84%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 30°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 84 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 9% against a group average of 54%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°37%
US model (GFS)39°31°9%
European model (ECMWF)40°32°58%
German model (ICON)39°32°73%
Canadian model (GEM)40°26°93%
The average41°30°54%

Saturday, November 14

High 39°   Low 29°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 50%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°29°58%
US model (GFS)38°31°43%
European model (ECMWF)40°30°27%
German model (ICON)39°31°33%
Canadian model (GEM)38°26°91%
The average39°29°50%

Sunday, November 15

High 40°   Low 33°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 53%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°40%
US model (GFS)38°33°27%
European model (ECMWF)41°36°38%
German model (ICON)41°34°72%
Canadian model (GEM)39°31°86%
The average40°33°53%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.