Minority Report

Kissimmee, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Osceola County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 63°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 31 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 11%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—62°14%
US model (GFS)80°60°2%
European model (ECMWF)79°63°31%
German model (ICON)77°64°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°64°6%
The average78°63°11%

Friday, November 13

High 72°   Low 54°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service73°48°4%
US model (GFS)73°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°59°2%
German model (ICON)70°57°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°55°0%
The average72°54°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 63°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°49°0%
US model (GFS)64°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°48°0%
German model (ICON)62°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°45°0%
The average63°47°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 73°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service73°57°1%
US model (GFS)72°52°1%
European model (ECMWF)72°50°0%
German model (ICON)71°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°47°0%
The average73°52°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.