Minority Report

Kittanning, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Armstrong County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 73 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 83%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°27%
US model (GFS)49°39°88%
European model (ECMWF)49°41°100%
German model (ICON)48°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)47°40°100%
The average48°38°83%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 23%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°26°22%
US model (GFS)40°32°10%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°12%
German model (ICON)42°34°50%
Canadian model (GEM)41°36°20%
The average43°32°23%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 63%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°48%
US model (GFS)41°33°57%
European model (ECMWF)41°33°76%
German model (ICON)42°34°58%
Canadian model (GEM)45°33°76%
The average43°32°63%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 37°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 41%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°23%
US model (GFS)45°39°57%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°31%
German model (ICON)45°40°33%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°61%
The average46°37°41%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.