Minority Report

Knox, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Starke County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 37°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 42 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 72%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°52%
US model (GFS)47°39°66%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°78%
Canadian model (GEM)45°38°94%
The average46°37°72%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 32 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 12% against a group average of 29%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°44%
US model (GFS)42°33°12%
European model (ECMWF)44°32°37%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°24%
The average43°32°29%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 32 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 55%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°45%
US model (GFS)44°32°48%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°49%
Canadian model (GEM)46°32°77%
The average45°32°55%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 67 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 23%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°12%
US model (GFS)47°38°4%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°4%
Canadian model (GEM)48°30°71%
The average47°33°23%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.