Knoxville, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Knox County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 58° Low 43° Rain 69%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 82 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 18% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 44° | 30% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 59° | 47° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 46° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 43° | 100% |
| The average | 58° | 43° | 69% |
High 47° Low 36° Rain 37%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 33° | 33% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 36° | 22% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 39° | 59% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 39° | 38% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 35° | 33% |
| The average | 47° | 36° | 37% |
High 47° Low 31° Rain 4%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 29° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 31° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 34° | 7% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 35° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 26° | 2% |
| The average | 47° | 31° | 4% |
High 51° Low 30° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 31° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 33° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 20° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 30° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.