Minority Report

Kootenai County, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kootenai County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°0%
US model (GFS)56°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°40°0%
German model (ICON)60°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°46°0%
The average58°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 42°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 18%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°42°50%
US model (GFS)60°45°6%
European model (ECMWF)59°40°4%
German model (ICON)60°42°5%
Canadian model (GEM)64°44°25%
The average61°42°18%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 40°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 68%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°39°50%
US model (GFS)48°38°54%
European model (ECMWF)50°39°77%
German model (ICON)50°42°73%
Canadian model (GEM)51°40°86%
The average50°40°68%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 39°   Rain 77%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°41°77%
US model (GFS)50°36°72%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°75%
German model (ICON)48°41°84%
Canadian model (GEM)51°42°78%
The average49°39°77%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.