Kotzebue, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Northwest Arctic Borough.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 23° Low 19° Rain 63%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 23° | 21° | 38% |
| US model (GFS) | 22° | 18° | 97% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 25° | 20° | 45% |
| German model (ICON) | 24° | 21° | 93% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 22° | 18° | 43% |
| The average | 23° | 19° | 63% |
High 22° Low 17° Rain 52%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 24° | 18° | 34% |
| US model (GFS) | 19° | 9° | 48% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 25° | 21° | 65% |
| German model (ICON) | 21° | 19° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 21° | 19° | 38% |
| The average | 22° | 17° | 52% |
High 21° Low 15° Rain 58%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 22° | 18° | 45% |
| US model (GFS) | 20° | 9° | 65% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 20° | 15° | 71% |
| German model (ICON) | 22° | 19° | 43% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 19° | 15° | 64% |
| The average | 21° | 15° | 58% |
High 20° Low 12° Rain 38%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 21° | 18° | 19% |
| US model (GFS) | 18° | 2° | 42% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 22° | 15° | 63% |
| German model (ICON) | 21° | 20° | 38% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 19° | 3° | 30% |
| The average | 20° | 12° | 38% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.