Minority Report

Kusilvak Census Area, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kusilvak Census Area.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 24°   Low 16°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 10%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service26°18°15%
US model (GFS)20°15°0%
European model (ECMWF)25°18°6%
German model (ICON)24°19°3%
Canadian model (GEM)22°9°24%
The average24°16°10%

Friday, November 13

High 21°   Low 15°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 11%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service22°15°15%
US model (GFS)17°13°3%
European model (ECMWF)25°17°10%
German model (ICON)24°20°5%
Canadian model (GEM)16°9°24%
The average21°15°11%

Saturday, November 14

High 19°   Low 12°   Rain 2%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service19°14°3%
US model (GFS)15°10°0%
European model (ECMWF)22°17°0%
German model (ICON)22°14°3%
Canadian model (GEM)17°7°5%
The average19°12°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 18°   Low 11°   Rain 10%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 13°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 10%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service21°18°25%
US model (GFS)17°9°0%
European model (ECMWF)22°13°9%
German model (ICON)21°12°6%
Canadian model (GEM)9°3°10%
The average18°11°10%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.