Minority Report

La Grande, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Union County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°0%
US model (GFS)64°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°48°0%
German model (ICON)63°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°45°0%
The average61°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 44°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 89% against a group average of 61%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°37°89%
US model (GFS)61°46°56%
European model (ECMWF)59°44°65%
German model (ICON)62°49°50%
Canadian model (GEM)59°46°45%
The average60°44°61%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 39°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 49%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°37°23%
US model (GFS)54°40°52%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°66%
German model (ICON)53°41°60%
Canadian model (GEM)57°38°45%
The average55°39°49%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 79%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°35°78%
US model (GFS)49°42°76%
European model (ECMWF)46°42°77%
German model (ICON)50°41°85%
Canadian model (GEM)48°41°81%
The average49°40°79%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.