Minority Report

La Grange, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Oldham County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 41°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 76 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 57%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°16%
US model (GFS)57°40°36%
European model (ECMWF)53°42°92%
German model (ICON)54°41°68%
Canadian model (GEM)54°40°71%
The average55°41°57%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 45%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°45%
US model (GFS)44°34°25%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°75%
German model (ICON)45°36°50%
Canadian model (GEM)45°33°29%
The average45°34°45%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°0%
US model (GFS)48°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°31°0%
German model (ICON)45°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°27°5%
The average46°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
German model (ICON)52°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°21°0%
The average50°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.