Minority Report

La Grange, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fayette County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°0%
US model (GFS)80°57°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°56°0%
German model (ICON)77°56°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°52°0%
The average77°54°0%

Friday, November 13

High 78°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°51°0%
US model (GFS)80°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)78°53°0%
German model (ICON)77°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°46°0%
The average78°51°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 70°   Low 53°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 38%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°55°43%
US model (GFS)71°53°19%
European model (ECMWF)71°55°68%
German model (ICON)64°54°50%
Canadian model (GEM)75°47°8%
The average70°53°38%

Sunday, November 15

High 69°   Low 54°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 79%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°52°83%
US model (GFS)76°57°55%
European model (ECMWF)64°54°86%
German model (ICON)69°54°79%
Canadian model (GEM)69°55°90%
The average69°54°79%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.