Minority Report

La Junta, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Otero County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)64°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°37°0%
German model (ICON)70°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°32°0%
The average68°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 33°   Rain 3%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 3%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°41°13%
US model (GFS)57°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°35°0%
German model (ICON)66°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°25°0%
The average65°33°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 38°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 87% against a group average of 62%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°39°57%
US model (GFS)57°33°52%
European model (ECMWF)53°42°87%
German model (ICON)56°36°58%
Canadian model (GEM)61°38°58%
The average58°38°62%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 38°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 39%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°34°5%
US model (GFS)49°44°28%
European model (ECMWF)52°38°53%
German model (ICON)51°40°56%
Canadian model (GEM)49°33°52%
The average51°38°39%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.