Minority Report

Laconia, NH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Belknap County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 43°   Low 37°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 60 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 79%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°91%
US model (GFS)43°34°40%
European model (ECMWF)42°39°100%
German model (ICON)43°39°85%
Canadian model (GEM)45°39°80%
The average43°37°79%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 60%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°63%
US model (GFS)43°32°24%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°90%
German model (ICON)41°34°73%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°50%
The average43°32°60%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°1%
US model (GFS)43°30°3%
European model (ECMWF)44°31°8%
German model (ICON)43°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°30°5%
The average43°30°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°0%
US model (GFS)43°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°2%
German model (ICON)42°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°33°2%
The average43°32°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.