Minority Report

Lafayette, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tippecanoe County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 62 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 54%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°49%
US model (GFS)47°36°24%
European model (ECMWF)48°39°57%
German model (ICON)47°38°55%
Canadian model (GEM)49°38°86%
The average48°37°54%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 38%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°28%
US model (GFS)42°32°14%
European model (ECMWF)41°35°65%
German model (ICON)45°35°25%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°57%
The average42°33°38%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°7%
US model (GFS)47°31°5%
European model (ECMWF)47°31°20%
German model (ICON)48°30°15%
Canadian model (GEM)45°25°5%
The average46°29°10%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 28°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°29°0%
US model (GFS)49°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°29°0%
German model (ICON)50°28°3%
Canadian model (GEM)47°20°0%
The average49°28°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.