Minority Report

Lafayette, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lafayette Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°0%
US model (GFS)76°56°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°58°0%
German model (ICON)76°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°52°0%
The average76°54°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°44°0%
US model (GFS)70°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°51°0%
German model (ICON)68°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°48°0%
The average70°48°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 63°   Low 43°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°45°1%
US model (GFS)64°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°44°5%
German model (ICON)64°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°44°0%
The average63°43°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 67°   Low 46°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 52%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°49°63%
US model (GFS)69°46°41%
European model (ECMWF)62°48°68%
German model (ICON)67°44°51%
Canadian model (GEM)69°44°36%
The average67°46°52%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.