Minority Report

Lafayette, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Macon County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 80 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 46%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°4%
US model (GFS)56°41°18%
European model (ECMWF)56°39°84%
German model (ICON)57°41°60%
Canadian model (GEM)57°40°62%
The average57°39°46%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 9%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°14%
US model (GFS)41°33°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°20%
German model (ICON)44°34°5%
Canadian model (GEM)45°34°5%
The average44°33°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°31°0%
German model (ICON)49°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°27°0%
The average48°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°29°0%
US model (GFS)52°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°32°0%
German model (ICON)53°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°23°0%
The average51°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.