Minority Report

Lagrange, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of LaGrange County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 37°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 62 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 34% against a group average of 67%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°34%
US model (GFS)45°38°56%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°96%
Canadian model (GEM)45°39°81%
The average46°37°67%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 32 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 25%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°27°15%
US model (GFS)38°31°22%
European model (ECMWF)41°31°47%
Canadian model (GEM)39°33°16%
The average40°30°25%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 30°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 12 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°33°12%
US model (GFS)44°31°7%
European model (ECMWF)46°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°26°2%
The average45°30°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 11 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°12%
US model (GFS)47°35°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°2%
Canadian model (GEM)45°27°5%
The average46°33°5%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.