Minority Report

Lajas Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lajas Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 88°   Low 77°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 93 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 33%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—79°20%
US model (GFS)90°74°13%
European model (ECMWF)90°76°93%
German model (ICON)86°77°40%
Canadian model (GEM)86°78°0%
The average88°77°33%

Friday, November 13

High 88°   Low 79°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 30%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service91°79°20%
US model (GFS)89°77°42%
European model (ECMWF)89°77°69%
German model (ICON)87°79°13%
Canadian model (GEM)86°81°5%
The average88°79°30%

Saturday, November 14

High 88°   Low 78°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 96 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 36%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service91°78°30%
US model (GFS)89°78°49%
European model (ECMWF)88°76°96%
German model (ICON)87°80°5%
Canadian model (GEM)86°80°0%
The average88°78°36%

Sunday, November 15

High 89°   Low 76°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 9%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service91°76°2%
US model (GFS)91°74°14%
European model (ECMWF)89°76°21%
German model (ICON)88°75°5%
Canadian model (GEM)85°78°5%
The average89°76°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.