Minority Report

Lake and Peninsula Borough, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lake and Peninsula Borough.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 24°   Low 18°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 52%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service25°17°22%
US model (GFS)24°18°74%
European model (ECMWF)24°21°69%
German model (ICON)23°19°83%
Canadian model (GEM)23°14°14%
The average24°18°52%

Friday, November 13

High 22°   Low 16°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 51%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service24°18°43%
US model (GFS)22°18°67%
European model (ECMWF)21°15°53%
German model (ICON)21°19°63%
Canadian model (GEM)20°11°29%
The average22°16°51%

Saturday, November 14

High 21°   Low 10°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 31%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service23°14°15%
US model (GFS)20°5°48%
European model (ECMWF)21°10°39%
German model (ICON)21°13°43%
Canadian model (GEM)20°7°10%
The average21°10°31%

Sunday, November 15

High 18°   Low 7°   Rain 14%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 36% against a group average of 14%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service22°16°36%
US model (GFS)19°5°24%
European model (ECMWF)14°7°3%
German model (ICON)19°6°3%
Canadian model (GEM)17°2°3%
The average18°7°14%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.