Minority Report

Lake Butler, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Union County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 55°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)78°54°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°56°2%
German model (ICON)77°57°3%
Canadian model (GEM)75°58°0%
The average77°55°1%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°40°0%
US model (GFS)68°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°50°1%
German model (ICON)68°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°49°0%
The average67°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°39°0%
US model (GFS)61°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°41°0%
German model (ICON)62°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°41°0%
The average61°39°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 66°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°45°0%
US model (GFS)66°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°43°0%
German model (ICON)66°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°38°0%
The average66°41°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.