Minority Report

Lake Charles, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Calcasieu Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 56°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—53°0%
US model (GFS)80°59°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°57°0%
German model (ICON)77°57°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°54°0%
The average78°56°0%

Friday, November 13

High 72°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service73°48°0%
US model (GFS)73°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°53°0%
German model (ICON)70°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°48°0%
The average72°50°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°50°1%
US model (GFS)65°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°47°13%
German model (ICON)63°43°2%
Canadian model (GEM)66°47°0%
The average64°46°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 67°   Low 50°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 70%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°51°73%
US model (GFS)69°50°59%
European model (ECMWF)60°49°86%
German model (ICON)65°50°63%
Canadian model (GEM)70°48°71%
The average67°50°70%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.