Minority Report

Lake City, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Columbia County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 53°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 0°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 4%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°1%
US model (GFS)77°55°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°55°14%
German model (ICON)77°56°3%
Canadian model (GEM)77°56°0%
The average77°53°4%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°39°0%
US model (GFS)66°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°48°0%
German model (ICON)66°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°48°0%
The average66°45°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°37°0%
US model (GFS)61°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°41°0%
German model (ICON)61°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°40°0%
The average60°38°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 65°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°43°0%
US model (GFS)66°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°39°0%
German model (ICON)66°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°38°0%
The average65°39°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.