Lake City, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Missaukee County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 42° Low 31° Rain 72%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 92 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 30° | 8% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 32° | 66% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 32° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 31° | 88% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 31° | 100% |
| The average | 42° | 31° | 72% |
High 38° Low 29° Rain 13%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 38° | 27° | 36% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 31° | 13% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 38° | 27° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 28° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 38° | 29° | 13% |
High 40° Low 31° Rain 12%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 28° | 19% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 32° | 22% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 31° | 12% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 33° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 33° | 0% |
| The average | 40° | 31° | 12% |
High 43° Low 31° Rain 8%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 25° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 22% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 31° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 33° | 5% |
| The average | 43° | 31° | 8% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.