Lake Pleasant, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hamilton County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 39° Low 30° Rain 98%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 24° | 91% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 32° | 97% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 32° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 32° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 32° | 100% |
| The average | 39° | 30° | 98% |
High 35° Low 27° Rain 83%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 35° | 21° | 36% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 24° | 84% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 35° | 29° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 33° | 30° | 95% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 34° | 28° | 100% |
| The average | 35° | 27° | 83% |
High 35° Low 28° Rain 46%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 80 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 35° | 25° | 31% |
| US model (GFS) | 35° | 26° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 36° | 29° | 65% |
| German model (ICON) | 35° | 30° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 36° | 29° | 95% |
| The average | 35° | 28° | 46% |
High 36° Low 29° Rain 28%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 37° | 22° | 31% |
| US model (GFS) | 34° | 29° | 24% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 36° | 31° | 10% |
| German model (ICON) | 35° | 32° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 36° | 31° | 68% |
| The average | 36° | 29° | 28% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.