Minority Report

Lake Village, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Chicot County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)72°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°54°0%
German model (ICON)71°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°49°0%
The average71°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°33°0%
US model (GFS)56°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°44°0%
German model (ICON)56°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°0%
The average56°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°36°0%
US model (GFS)56°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°0%
German model (ICON)55°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°31°0%
The average55°35°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 59°   Low 40°   Rain 30%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 30%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°40°26%
US model (GFS)62°41°23%
European model (ECMWF)56°42°35%
German model (ICON)60°41°49%
Canadian model (GEM)58°37°19%
The average59°40°30%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.