Minority Report

Lamar, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Prowers County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)70°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°39°0%
German model (ICON)71°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°33°0%
The average70°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 37°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°40°8%
US model (GFS)64°39°1%
European model (ECMWF)62°41°0%
German model (ICON)64°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°27°0%
The average64°37°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 39°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 70%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°36°70%
US model (GFS)51°38°70%
European model (ECMWF)48°41°96%
German model (ICON)52°43°45%
Canadian model (GEM)49°39°67%
The average52°39°70%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 39°   Rain 47%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 9% against a group average of 47%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°33°9%
US model (GFS)46°43°40%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°72%
German model (ICON)45°42°41%
Canadian model (GEM)45°37°71%
The average47°39°47%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.