Minority Report

Lamar, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Barton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)56°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°37°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°32°0%
The average56°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°25°0%
US model (GFS)45°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°33°0%
German model (ICON)48°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°24°0%
The average47°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°33°2%
US model (GFS)52°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°29°0%
German model (ICON)52°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°20°0%
The average51°26°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 33°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 12%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°33°9%
US model (GFS)56°36°8%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°5%
German model (ICON)57°32°13%
Canadian model (GEM)53°31°24%
The average54°33°12%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.