Minority Report

Lamesa, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dawson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°0%
US model (GFS)72°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°42°0%
German model (ICON)70°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°42°0%
The average71°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 44°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 13%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°49°40%
US model (GFS)68°45°2%
European model (ECMWF)68°43°1%
German model (ICON)66°43°5%
Canadian model (GEM)68°40°19%
The average68°44°13%

Saturday, November 14

High 65°   Low 50°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 73%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°49°61%
US model (GFS)66°49°62%
European model (ECMWF)67°51°96%
German model (ICON)66°52°74%
Canadian model (GEM)65°51°73%
The average65°50°73%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 44°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 20%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°42°2%
US model (GFS)66°48°35%
European model (ECMWF)54°44°24%
German model (ICON)60°44°25%
Canadian model (GEM)59°42°14%
The average60°44°20%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.