Lancaster, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Garrard County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 54° Low 41° Rain 74%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 83 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 17% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 41° | 70% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 41° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 43° | 90% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 41° | 95% |
| The average | 54° | 41° | 74% |
High 43° Low 34° Rain 68%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 57 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 29° | 65% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 33° | 43% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 36° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 37° | 63% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 35° | 71% |
| The average | 43° | 34° | 68% |
High 45° Low 29° Rain 7%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 27° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 29° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 31° | 18% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 25° | 13% |
| The average | 45° | 29° | 7% |
High 49° Low 31° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 37° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 21° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 31° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.